Last week the White House released the draft Arctic Research Plan for 2017-2021. It’s available for public comment through August 21. The U.S. Global Change Research Program wants people to sign up online for an account at its website in order to comment. It also appears that signing up for such an account is the only way to read the draft plan.
There are nine research goals for the plan:
- Enhance understanding of health determinants, and support efforts that improve the well-being of Arctic residents;
- Advance process and system understanding of the changing Arctic atmospheric composition and dynamics and resulting changes to surface energy budgets;
- Enhance understanding and improve predictions of the changing sea-ice cover;
- Increase understanding of the structure and function of Arctic marine ecosystems and their role in the climate system, and advance predictive capabilities of regional models;
- Understand and project the mass balance of mountain glaciers and the Greenland Ice Sheet and the consequences for sea level rise;
- Advance understanding of processes controlling permafrost dynamics and the impacts on ecosystems, infrastructure, and climate feedbacks;
- Advance an integrated, landscape-scale understanding of Arctic terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems and the potential for future change;
- Strengthen coastal community resilience and advance stewardship of coastal natural and cultural resources by engaging in research related to the connections among people, and natural and built environments; and,
- Enhance environmental intelligence gathering, interpretation, and application to provide decision support.
If you’re still not sure whether or not to sign up for an account in order to review and comment on the plan, check out the FAQ page. It describes how the draft plan differs from the existing plan, and outlines not only the research goals listed above, but the policy drivers for the plan. Listed below, the drivers are the desired outcomes of the plan, which would be informed by the research goals.
- Enhance the well-being of Arctic residents. Knowledge will inform local, state, and national policies to address a range of goals including health, economic opportunity, and the cultural vibrancy of native and other Arctic residents.
- Advance stewardship of the Arctic environment. Results will provide the necessary knowledge to understand the functioning of the terrestrial and marine environments, and anticipate globally-driven changes as well as the potential response to local actions.
- Strengthen national and regional security. Efforts will include work to improve shorter-term environmental prediction capability and longer-term projections of the future state of the Arctic region to ensure defense and emergency response agencies have skillful forecasts of operational environments, and the tools necessary to operate safely and effectively in the Arctic over the long term.
- Improve understanding of the Arctic as a component of planet Earth. Information will recognize the important role of the Arctic in the global system, such as the ways the changing cryosphere impacts sea-level, the global carbon and radiation budgets, and weather systems.
This plan does appear to include more research on socio-economic impacts related to the Arctic. Once the comments have been submitted, the intention is to submit the plan to the relevant federal agencies in September. This may seem like a rush, but with the Arctic Science Ministerial scheduled for late September in Washington, D.C., I think it makes sense to have some form of the plan in front of the people likely to attend the Ministerial.