So, About Those Scientists On Trial In Italy…

Important disclaimers – I am not a lawyer, either in this country or Italy.  I also don’t speak the language, so I am relying on secondary sources.

ScienceInsider has reported on the decision to acquit six of the seven people convicted of manslaughter in connection with the 2009 L’Aquila earthquake.  The people had been convicted due to the poor way they communicated the risk of possible earthquakes leading up to the 6.2 quake that killed 309 people.

It is not, and never was, about the prediction of earthquakes or a misunderstanding of the underlying science.  But that was the easy message, and the one that got through, at least outside of Italy.  I could have been more effective in communicating that in the many posts I made on the topic, and I apologize for that.

Back to the latest developments.  The appellate court which acquitted six of the seven defendants (all of the scientists were acquitted, while the public official had his remains sentenced reduced to 6 2 years) ruled that only the public official could be faulted for the reassurances that caused some people to remain indoors.  The scientists, according to the appellate court, should not have been judged by any regulatory responsibilities they had, but by how well they complied with the accepted science of the time.  And because, according to the court, the notion that a cluster of earthquakes can indicate a larger one was not a commonly accepted scientific theory until after the L’Aquila quake.

That last statement seems like it could be subject to debate for years to come.  Perhaps that debate might play out – at least in part – in the next level of appeals.  The chief prosecutor can appeal this latest decision to the top Italian appeals court.  So this may still not be over.

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